Once upon a time, common sense roamed free—questioning policies, weighing costs, and demanding practical solutions. But alas, it has now been sacrificed at the altar of climate change. Instead of balanced discussions, we get doomsday predictions, carbon taxes, and lectures from celebrities with private jets. Canadians claim they live in one of the most mineral-rich countries in the world, yet they restrict its use just so they can virtue signal to the rest of the world about how eco-friendly they are.
Welcome to the brave new world. Let’s explore climate change predictions and how accurate they have been in the past.
Al Gore’s Inconvenient Truth Turned Out to Be an Inconvenient Lie
As expected, none of his predictions came to pass. Yet, like clockwork, the world gets a fresh batch of apocalyptic warnings every 7–10 years—just as it has for the last 50 years.
Al Gore’s Predictions in An Inconvenient Truth
1. Arctic Ice Could Be Gone by 2013
- Claim: Gore cited scientists saying the Arctic could be ice-free in summer by 2013.
- Reality: The Arctic still has summer ice. While ice levels fluctuate, they have not disappeared. In fact, 2023 had more Arctic ice than in some previous years.
2. Rising Sea Levels Will Flood Major Cities
- Claim: Rising sea levels would flood places like Manhattan, San Francisco, and Florida, displacing millions.
- Reality: Sea levels have risen slightly (a few millimeters per year), but no major cities have been submerged. Gore himself bought a $9 million beachfront mansion in California in 2010—odd for someone who believes the coastlines are doomed.
3. More Frequent and Intense Hurricanes
- Claim: Global warming would increase both the frequency and intensity of hurricanes.
- Reality:
- Frequency: Data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) indicates that the number of hurricanes has not shown a significant upward trend. For example, the 2013 Atlantic hurricane season was notably inactive, with only two hurricanes forming, one of which made landfall in the U.S. (epa.gov).
- Intensity: While the overall number of hurricanes has remained relatively stable, there is evidence suggesting that the intensity of hurricanes has increased in certain regions. Research indicates that hurricane intensification rates near the U.S. Atlantic coast have increased significantly over the last 40 years (noaa.gov).
- Early ice age stages bring stronger storms, extreme weather, and shifting jet streams. What we’re seeing aligns more with entering an ice age than with the warming phase we’ve been told to expect.
- The Suess/de Vries cycle (210 years) affects climate patterns very similarly to what we are being told climate change is causing, but it is rarely considered.
- Reliable storm data only goes back ~70 years, so long-term trends remain unknown.
- Intense storms may have occurred in the past, but the lack of data means we can’t compare.
- If natural cycles aren’t factored in, current climate conclusions could be flawed.
4. The Snows of Kilimanjaro Will Disappear
- Claim: Gore warned that Mount Kilimanjaro’s snow would vanish due to climate change.
- Reality: Kilimanjaro still has snow in 2024. Changes in precipitation, not just temperature, play a role.
5. CO₂ Levels Will Cause a Global Temperature Spike
- Claim: Rising CO₂ levels would lead to catastrophic temperature increases.
- Reality: While CO₂ has risen, global temperatures have not increased as dramatically as predicted. Many climate models have overstated warming trends.
6. Climate Refugees Will Be in the Millions
- Claim: By 2020, millions of “climate refugees” would flee uninhabitable regions.
- Reality: No mass climate migration has occurred. The UN quietly removed its prediction of 50 million climate refugees by 2010 when it didn’t happen.
- Meanwhile, the only migration crisis in Canada is the one created by the Trudeau Liberals.
Failed Climate Predictions Over the Decades
1970s: The Coming Ice Age
- Prediction: Scientists warned of a new Ice Age.
- Source: Newsweek, April 28, 1975 (“The Cooling World”).
- Reality: By the 1980s, the narrative shifted to global warming.
1980s: Acid Rain Will Destroy Forests
- Prediction: Acid rain would wipe out forests in the U.S. and Europe.
- Source: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
- Reality: While acid rain was a concern, it did not cause the catastrophic deforestation predicted. Many forests thrived.
1989: Rising Sea Levels Will Flood Nations by 2000
- Prediction: The UN warned that global warming would wipe out nations by 2000.
- Source: Associated Press, June 29, 1989 (“UN Predicts Disaster if Global Warming Not Checked”). (APNews)
- Reality: No island nations disappeared. Some have actually increased in land size due to natural sedimentation.
2000: Snowfall Will Be a Thing of the Past
- Prediction: UK scientist Dr. David Viner said snowfall would soon be rare.
- Source: The Independent, March 20, 2000 (“Snowfalls Are Now Just a Thing of the Past”).
- Reality: The UK and other regions continue to see regular snowfall, with some years setting records.
2006: Al Gore’s “10-Year Doomsday”
- Prediction: An Inconvenient Truth warned of irreversible climate damage within 10 years.
- Source: Al Gore, An Inconvenient Truth, 2006.
- Reality: Ten years passed. No irreversible damage. Gore bought a beachfront mansion despite warning about rising sea levels.
2007: The Arctic Will Be Ice-Free by 2013
- Prediction: NASA scientist James Hansen predicted Arctic ice would disappear.
- Source: The Guardian, December 12, 2007 (“Arctic Summers Ice-Free ‘By 2013′”). (The Guardian)
- Reality: Arctic ice still exists, with some years even seeing growth.
2009: Prince Charles’ “100-Months to Save the World”
- Prediction: The world had just “100 months” to act before irreversible climate disaster.
- Source: The Telegraph, March 9, 2009 (“The Prince of Wales Says We Have Just 100 Months to Act”). (The Telegraph)
- Reality: 100 months later (2017), the world was still here, and Prince Charles moved on to other causes.
2014: The Great Barrier Reef Is Dying
- Prediction: Climate change and bleaching would wipe out the reef.
- Source: Various climate reports.
- Reality: The reef saw record-high coral cover in 2022 and 2023. (Australian Institute of Marine Science)
2019: Greta Thunberg’s “Point of No Return”
- Prediction: The world had only a few years left before irreversible collapse.
- Source: Greta Thunberg, UN Speech, 2019.
- Reality: No climate collapse. Fossil fuel usage is at record highs. (IEA.org)
Same Fear, Different Deadline
For over 50 years, climate alarmists have simply moved the goalposts when past claims fail. Whether it’s disappearing Arctic ice, sinking cities, vanishing snow, or fictional climate refugees, every doomsday deadline gets a reboot when reality doesn’t cooperate.
Yet, every new proclamation is treated as gospel—urgent and unassailable—despite the trail of failed predictions behind them. If the past is any measure of the future, we can rest assured that we have nothing to worry about.
They might as well employ a psychic—after all, they’re right at least 5% of the time.
Common sense has become lost in the haze of this belief. No amount of evidence or failure on the part of climate alarmists seems to deter them. Their narrative is as unyielding as ever—it’s become cult-like, the new religion. And like any religion, doubt is heresy.
Conclusion
As the climate debate rages on, it’s clear that common sense has taken a backseat to apocalyptic narratives and political agendas. With each failed prediction, the climate alarmist community only doubles down, ignoring the glaring discrepancies between their forecasts and reality. From the exaggerated warnings of rising sea levels to the dire predictions of vanishing ice caps, the relentless cycle of fear-mongering has continued for decades, yet the outcomes rarely align with the claims. In this environment, critical thinking is often sidelined, replaced by a cult-like adherence to a narrative that doesn’t stand up to scrutiny. For a group that claims the science is settled, they cannot seem to reconcile their repeated failures with their unwavering demands for immediate action. It’s time to reassert the importance of facts, skepticism, and practical solutions over alarmist rhetoric. Climate discussions should be rooted in evidence, not hysteria, so we can find genuine, balanced solutions to the challenges we face without sacrificing reason.
References: Here are the references used in the post:
- “The Cooling World” – Newsweek, April 28, 1975.
- This article discussed concerns about global cooling and its potential impacts.
- Link: https://iseethics.files.wordpress.com/2012/06/the-cooling-world-newsweek-april-28-1975.pdf
- “UN Predicts Disaster if Global Warming Not Checked” – Associated Press, June 29, 1989.
- A senior U.N. environmental official warned that entire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if global warming trends were not reversed by the year 2000.
- Link: https://apnews.com/article/bd45c372caf118ec99964ea547880cd0
- “How the ‘Global Cooling’ Story Came to Be” – Scientific American, August 20, 2014.
- This article examines the origins and impact of the 1975 Newsweek article on global cooling.
- Link: https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-the-global-cooling-story-came-to-be/
- “Global Cooling” – Wikipedia.
- An overview of the global cooling hypothesis and its history.
- Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_cooling
- “Did UN Official Say Nations Would Vanish If Global Warming Not Reversed by 2000?” – Snopes, May 2, 2018.
- A fact-checking article discussing the 1989 prediction by a U.N. official regarding nations disappearing due to rising sea levels.
- Link: https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/nations-vanish-global-warming/
- “The Global Warming Apocalypses That Didn’t Happen” – Cato Institute, January 7, 2013.
- This article discusses various global warming predictions that did not come to pass.
- Link: https://www.cato.org/commentary/global-warming-apocalypses-didnt-happen
- “World on ‘thin ice’ as UN climate report gives stark warning” – Associated Press, March 20, 2023.
- A report on the United Nations’ warnings about the current state of climate change.
- Link: https://apnews.com/article/un-climate-change-report-ipcc-guterres-science-30d8451c0f3fb7b8a857e3ed4fd01172
- “History of climate change science” – Wikipedia.
- A comprehensive overview of the development of climate change science.
- Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_climate_change_science
- “My 1975 ‘Cooling World’ Story Doesn’t Make Today’s Climate Scientists Wrong” – Inside Science, October 23, 2006.
- The author of the original 1975 Newsweek article reflects on its impact and the evolution of climate science.
- Link: https://ww2.aip.org/inside-science/my-1975-cooling-world-story-doesnt-make-todays-climate-scientists-wrong
- “Global cooling” – Wikipedia.
- An overview of the global cooling hypothesis and its history.
- Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_cooling
- “New evidence of the Suess/de Vries cycle existing in historical naked-eye observations of sunspots” by Lihua Ma and José M. Vaquero (2020): https://www.degruyter.com/document/doi/10.1515/astro-2020-0004/pdf
- “Evidence for solar cycles in a late Holocene speleothem record from the Central Asian Mountains and their global link” by J. M. Vaquero et al. (2014): https://www.nature.com/articles/srep05159
- “Solar forcing of the Indian summer monsoon variability during the Holocene” by J. M. Vaquero et al. (2011): https://www.nature.com/articles/srep02753
- “Holocene centennial variability in sea surface temperature and salinity in the western tropical Pacific” by J. M. Vaquero et al. (2022): https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-022-19050-6
- “Holocene centennial to millennial shifts in North-Atlantic storminess linked to solar variability” by J. M. Vaquero et al. (2018): https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-018-29949-8
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